By Paul Wallace
This is often the first-ever, really international, indepth examine the large results of the demographic rolllercoaster and what it skill for employment, investments, new company improvement, advertising and marketing and the industrial strength map of the realm.
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Extra info for Agequake: Riding the Demographic Rollercoaster Shaking Business, Finance, and Our World
While the share price valuations put on corporate earnings have risen dramatically, those earnings, too, have increased fast. One reason for this profits recovery is again demographic. The growing number of workers in their most productive years has boosted corporate performance. The impetus to raise earnings has also been driven by the increased focus on shareholder value as ageing baby boomers increase their exposure to the equity market and pension funds flex their muscles. An obvious retort to this demographic account of the equity boom is that the build-up in assets has occurred primarily through a valuation effect, through the very same run-up on Wall Street and in the City.
In Part Two, I'm going to give you advance warning of what lies ahead over the next 10 or so years. The tremors will shake all aspects of your life, from prospects for the stock market to the value of your house, from the outlook for jobs to the future of your pension. Anticipating these changes will allow you to exploit them to the hilt. Part Two Tremors 3 Financial rollercoaster SHAKESPEARE IDENTIFIED SEVEN AGES OF MAN, BUT IN FINANCIAL TERMS there are just three in adult life. In the first we are net borrowers, as we form households and start families.
We suffer from `secular stagnation – sick recoveries which die in their infancy and depressions which feed on themselves', he declared, words with an eerie resonance for Japan's stuttering economy. 16 Sixty years on, prominent economist Paul Krugman of MIT has been thinking along similar lines. His diagnosis of the Japanese disease resurrects an old Keynesian chestnut, the so-called liquidity trap, where the central bank loses power to stimulate the economy by lowering interest rates. Krugman believes that adverse demographics have ensnared Japan in the trap.
Agequake: Riding the Demographic Rollercoaster Shaking Business, Finance, and Our World by Paul Wallace